Pakistan Cyber Force: Rupee at record low; KSE loses 248 points

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Saturday, August 20, 2011

Rupee at record low; KSE loses 248 points

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The Pakistani rupee fell to a record low on Friday on negative sentiment surrounding the country's economic outlook, while the Karachi stock market ended at a nine-month low following the deteriorating security situation in the country's commercial hub Karachi. The rupee closed at 86.85/90 to the USZ Dollar -- its weakest ever closing -- down from the previous record low of 86.80/85 on Thursday. Dealers said they expect the local unit to stay under pressure for now, as dollar payments are typically higher in July and August because of stronger oil demand and debt payments.

"The rupee was traded as high as 86.92 against the dollar", said a dealer at a foreign bank. Stalled payments from a bailout program by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is also negatively impacting the rupee. The IMF has criticised the Pakistan government for its patchy implementation of fiscal reforms, and has held back the sixth tranche of an $11 billion bailout programme since August last year. IMF and Pakistan officials were due to meet last month, but the meeting has been delayed and no new date has been announced. Dealers said increased remittances from Pakistanis working abroad had supported the rupee and shielded the currency from a sharp fall in recent weeks, but increased dollar demand over the last week has pushed the rupee lower.
According to official data, remittances rose 38.57 % to $1.1 billion in the first month of 2011/12 fiscal year, compared with $791.18 million in the same period last year. Dealers also said there were fears of portfolio inflows, which was driving down the sentiment. "The entire outlook is not very certain economically, and now the Karachi security situation is also weighing on the rupee as it is the country's financial hub", the dealer said.

Karachi police chief Saud Mirza told Reuters 31 people were killed on Thursday, while at least four more died on Friday. Seventeen people died in the violence on Wednesday. The city's deteriorating security situation pushed stocks down by more than 2.23 percent to end at their lowest close since November 12, 2010. "Concerns over violence and security concerns in the city, and limited institutional support played a catalyst role in negative sentiment", said Ahsan Mehanti, director at Arif Habib Ltd. The Karachi Stock Exchange's benchmark 100-share index closed 2.23 percent, or 248.70 points, lower at 10,879.82. Volume was at 41.01 million shares, compared with 41.62 million shares traded on Thursday. Dealers said the market was also jittery as world stocks extended steep losses from Thursday. APP adds from Islamabad: Islamabad Stock Exchange (ISE-10) witnessed bearish trend here on Friday as the index plunged by 79.34 points to close at 2,340.00. Stock Analyst and Member of Association for Investor's Awareness (AIA), Fahim Akhtar told APP that heavy sell off in the European and American markets along with crude oil and buying in gold caused bearish trend in the local stock markets.

He said that more negative pressure was witnessed in banking sectors but accumulation of shares by local institutions at lower level of index was indication of positive sentiments in the future. Senior Equity Dealer, Ismail Iqbal Pvt Ltd, Zaheer Ahmed said that international markets' concerns and violence in commercial hub was main cause of negative sentiments in the local markets. He said that keeping in the view of the best dividend yields of some scrips like Hubco, Nishat Chunyan, PPL were attractive at these levels of index. "According to National Clearing Company of Pakistan Ltd, even today (Friday), Foreign Investors Portfolio Investments (FIPI) selling worth $ 1.76 million was very depressing in the investors", he added. In yesterday’ trading, a total of 27,575 shares were traded, which were up by 3803 as compared to previous session. Out of 103 companies, the price of 19 increased while the price of 83 decreased. The price of top gainer Sanofi Aventis Pakistan increased by Rs. 7.47 while the price of top loser Unilever Pakistan decreased by Rs. 79.40. Lotte Pakistan PTA, DG Khan Cement and Allied Bank Limited remained the volume leaders.

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