Pakistan Cyber Force: Demise of Euro

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Showing posts with label Demise of Euro. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Demise of Euro. Show all posts

Thursday, November 1, 2012

Toshiba cuts forecast on global economy worries

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TOKYO, (Reuters) - Japan's Toshiba Corp cut its full-year operating profit forecast by 13 percent to 260 billion yen ($3.3 billion) on Wednesday, saying the uncertain global economy weighed on its prospects. The company said the continuing European debt crisis, slowdowns in China and India, and a strong yen were combining to "increase uncertainty about the future." For the July-September period, Toshiba posted an operating profit of 57.5 billion yen, slightly better than expected, but down 23 percent from a year ago due to revenue and profit declines in its semiconductor, television and home appliance segments.

That compared with an average operating profit forecast of 55.5 billion yen by four analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Toshiba, Japan's leading chipmaker, saw operating profit for its electronic device segment, which includes its NAND memory chip business, drop 28 percent to 27.6 billion yen in the six months to September.

Its NAND chip business returned to profit in the three months to September, though it lost money in the April-June quarter, said Executive Vice President Makoto Kubo. The performance of the sector was the biggest single swing factor in Toshiba's results. Toshiba's NAND chips are used in Apple Inc's iPhones and tablet devices. Toshiba, which cut NAND chip output at its main plant by 30 percent after seeing a supply glut its earlier this year, will continue production cuts in the October-March period, but by less, Kubo said.

"We were able to bring the memory chip business back into profit in the second quarter, though the profit level is still not sufficient," he told reporters at a briefing. NAND operating profit in the second quarter was between 10-99 billion yen, though much closer to 10 billion yen, he added. Toshiba's biggest rival, Samsung Electronics Co Ltd , forecast last week global shipments of NAND chips to grow in the mid-20 percent range in the current quarter, led by new mobile product launches. Toshiba booked a 3.6 billion yen loss in its digital products segment in April-September, largely due to a major drop in LCD television demand in Japan.

It also cut its television sales target by 19 percent to 13 million units and said the television business will probably be in the red for the financial year, although it may eek out a profit in the fourth quarter, Kubo told reporters. In May, Toshiba said it aimed to more than double its annual operating profit in three years by expanding its social infrastructure business, which makes products ranging from elevators to medical systems to nuclear power plants, and by boosting sales of electronic devices. The social infrastructure segment posted a record-high operating profit of 49.7 billion yen in the April-September quarter.

Shares of Toshiba, which competes with Hynix Semiconductor Inc in semiconductors and with General Electric Co and Areva SA in nuclear reactors, closed up 4.59 percent ahead of the results. Tokyo's benchmark Nikkei closed up 0.98 percent.
(Reuters)

Pakistan Cyber Force

Wednesday, April 4, 2012

Demise of Euro: Suicide Rate, Unemployment at Record High in Italy

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The deepening economic crisis in Italy along with the country’s soaring unemployment has led to a social crisis in the European nation. Since 2010, the average financially-motivated related suicide rate has been over one per day. The victims are affected by rising unemployment, utility prices and a mounting fiscal pressure, currently at over 55%. On Monday, the Italian Bureau of Statistics put the unemployment rate at 9.3%, with the youth unemployment jumping to 31.9%, the highest since 2004. The cost of the fines and accumulated interests on unpaid taxes is also placing an unbearable pressure on many Italians, who have been faced with mounting bankruptcies, foreclosures, evictions, and layoffs. Harsh austerity measures taken by the government of Premier Monti have sparked protests and strikes as the cuts and reforms have failed to help Italy's economic growth, with the GDP expected to fall about 1.5% this year.

"In the present glooming economic crisis, turning the screw on people means practically killing them,” said Ivano Giacomelli of CODICI Citizen Rights Center. “We receive a large number of calls on a daily basis from desperate citizens seeking help. They cannot pay for fines and bills and the interests accumulating are enormous while the taxes add to their debts,” he added. Last year, over 11,000 companies went bankrupt in Italy, largely due to hugely delayed payments on the part of their clients, with the Public Administration among the late payers. Luca Zaia, the governor the Veneto region, has announced that 52 businessmen from his region have committed suicide in the past 24 months. Giacomelli regretted that an official study on this kind of suicide has never been carried out in Italy, expressing concern that "it is not a coincidence." “A study would reveal the existence of a tragic situation and once the figures are made public, politicians will be forced to change the present tax system,” he said.

Enticing Fury
Pakistan Cyber Force

Friday, January 13, 2012

Eurozone Collapse: British Financial Firms to shed 11,000 jobs

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British financial firms plan to shed jobs at a faster pace after the escalating euro zone sovereign debt crisis dented their confidence during the final three months of 2011, according to a survey published on Monday. The finance sector s planned retrenchment comes despite faster-than-expected growth in business volumes and rising profits last quarter, the survey by the CBI, Britain s biggest business lobby, and auditors PricewaterhouseCoopers showed.

"Firms are less optimistic than they were and they are employing fewer people," CBI Chief Economic Adviser Ian McCafferty told reporters. "There is the growing fear of less availability of finance and constraints of funding." British banks, insurers and asset managers look set to axe a further 11,000 jobs in the first three months of 2012, up from 9,000 in the final quarter of 2011, McCafferty said.

The sector had already shed a total of 81,000 jobs between the end of 2008 and the third quarter of 2011, official statistics show. New vacancies in the City of London in 2011 fell 8 percent from the previous year and slumped dramatically in the fourth quarter, a separate report from recruiters Astbury Marsden showed. Overall, over 50,000 jobs were created, it added.

Last December, vacancies created in the UK finance sector were down 43 percent on a year before, and there were on average three qualified candidates for every job in the industry in 2011 compared with closer to two in 2010, Astbury Marsden said. Investment banks in particular have been slashing headcount as the euro zone turmoil bit into trading profits, and globally about 130,000 jobs were put on the line last year, according to a Reuters tally.   

The CBI said the downbeat mood in Britain reflected worries over the euro debt crisis, which has pushed up borrowing costs for heavily-indebted euro zone members, sapping growth among Britain s major trading partners. The crisis has also prompted banks across Europe to cut lending to their peers amid fears some could go under due to big exposures to distressed government debt, leaving many reliant on loans from the European Central Bank for their funding.

The proportion of survey respondents reporting a dip in confidence over the last three month exceeded those that became more optimistic by 24 percent, compared with a balance of 20 percent three months earlier, the CBI said. A balance of 13 percent of firms reported reduced employee headcount in the last quarter of 2011, while a balance of 18 percent predicted bigger job losses over the next three months.

A balance of 29 percent said they would invest less on land and buildings, and a balance of 10 percent said they would spend less on marketing, the first such decline in more than two years.
Enticing Fury
Pakistan Cyber Force

Credit Ratings of France, Italy, Spain downgraded by S&P

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Standard & Poor's has downgraded the credit ratings of France, Italy, and Spain, as the European debt crisis continues to intensify. According to French government sources, the ratings agency has downgraded the country's Triple-A credit rating, while downgrading Italy and Spain's ratings as well. However, the agency has spared other European nations such as Germany, Belgium, Luxemburg, and the Netherlands. Meanwhile, US stocks have dropped over the recent EU concerns, while European shares also fell by more than one percent. The news also caused the euro to slump against the dollar and yen. 

Recent reports indicate that debt-ridden Greece's talks with bank creditors are in “grave condition.” In December, S&P placed the ratings of fifteen eurozone nations, including France and Germany on credit watch negative. The worsening debt crisis, however, has forced the European governments to adopt harsh austerity measures and tough economic reforms. Tens of thousands of the Europeans have migrated from their homelands as a result of these difficulties. There are fears that more delays in resolving the eurozone debt crisis could push not only Europe, but also much of the rest of the Western world back into recession. 

(Press TV)
Enticing Fury
Pakistan Cyber Force

Friday, November 11, 2011

Worldwide Recession Arrives!

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Christine Lagarde, managing director for the International Monetary Fund (IMF), warned that the world faces the risk of a “lost decade” and that “there are dark clouds gathering in the global economy.” Reiterating her call for pushing the New World Order motive down the throats of 6 billion people on this planet, under the charade of "global cooperation", she added,
"If we do not act, and act together, we could enter a downward spiral of uncertainty, financial instability, and a collapse in global demand. Ultimately, we could face a lost decade of low growth and high unemployment."

Following a “financial dialogue” between China and India, it was announced that the global economy is now in a “critical phase…. There are clear signs of a slowing as developments in advanced economies begin to weigh on [both of] these countries.” And the Chief Executive of Hong Kong, Donald Tsang said earlier this week that the world economy faces a 50-percent chance of a recession. Economist John Hussman thinks those chances are much closer to 100 percent. In his clients’ newsletter, he said he foresees a “significant downturn…. Our broadest [prediction] models continue to imply a probability of [an] oncoming recession near 100 percent.” He added,
“It’s important to recognize…that there is such a uniformity of recession warnings here…that even an unsophisticated, unweighted average of evidence indicates a very high likelihood of recession.”
He then warned his investors about the risks of being invested in equities:
“While Wall Street remains effusive about stocks being cheap on a 'forward operating earnings' basis, that conclusion rests on the assumption that profit margins will sustain record highs more than 50 percent above their historical norms into the indefinite future.”[Emphasis added.]
That assumption is terribly at odds with historical evidence. Wall Street itself is already in the midst of its own recession. As reported in the New York Times, Wall Street’s bonuses will decline this year by an average of 20 to 30 percent, reflecting not only the lack of participation in the recent rally by small investors, but the increased overhead created by the implementation of the Dodd-Frank financial regulation law. Even Goldman Sachs reported a 37 percent decline in earnings in its fixed income, currency and commodities division during the first nine months of 2011 compared to last year, and just announced its first quarterly loss since the start of the great recession.

Robert Higgs, editor of the Independent Review, just pronounced the current economic “recovery” as “anemic, at best,” noting that although the Gross Domestic Product of USZ has just now returned to its level before the financial crisis began in late 2007, private investment as measured by the Department of Commerce at $1.8 trillion is still way below its peak of $2.3 trillion in 2006. And most of that private investment is going to replace and upgrade existing equipment, and so it will have little impact on growing the economy. Investment in private residential property remains nearly flat, running at only about 40 percent of its pre-recession peak, with little sign of improvement. Private non-residential fixed investment, despite some modest recovery, remains seven percent below its peak before the recession.

The biggest concern Higgs has is over the employment numbers announced by the Department of Labor. He notes,
“Although almost 3 million persons have been added to the employment rolls during the last two years, approximately six million fewer persons are employed in private industry now than were employed at the prerecession peak.
Moreover, fewer persons are privately employed now than were employed in 2000 — eleven years ago — when the population was substantially lower….
Although we see some indications that recovery has occurred … given the present clouded prospects for the security of investors’ private property rights, with regime uncertainty hovering over public policy in many critical regards, the likelihood of a strong investment boom must be considered extremely slight.”
That’s an economist’s way of saying that the economy is doing poorly and is likely to do even more poorly. Add in the nearly flawlessly accurate prediction by the Economic Cycle Research Institute that the economy is already in a new recession, coupled with the belated recognition of the insolvencies of Greece and Italy and the European Union’s impotency to do anything about it, and one has the recipe for a world-wide recession already under way.

 ( The New American )

Monday, October 24, 2011

Europe heading for another Dark Age

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Sylvia knew things would be tough, but never like this. With a masters' degree in publicity, the 24-year-old has been working for more than two years, full-time, in an internship that is starting to feel like it will never end. Paid 300 euros a month for the same work as the salaried public relations professionals who sit next to her, she doesn't earn enough to move out of her parents' house and her bus pass and lunch expenses eat up most of her pay. But despite feeling her multinational employer is flouting rules that limit the use of worker contracts with no benefits, she's not about to complain to the labor office since she considers herself blessed to have a job at all.

"Since I was little my parents urged me to get a university degree to find good work. But I'm lucky to have any work at all. There were 30 of us in my graduating class and I'm one of the ones who is doing the best with their career", Silvia said. She did not want her last name used in case of repercussions at work. With Spain's youth unemployment higher than 40 percent and its overall joblessness the highest in the European Union at one in five, young professionals accept any conditions as they try to start their careers. The story is much the same in neighboring Portugal and Italy where more and more people have so-called junk jobs: temporary contracts that used to be common in tourism, farming and construction but are now used by all kinds of companies.

With the economy sluggish and the euro zone debt crisis strangling credit, businesses are keener than ever to avoid open-ended contracts with expensive severance pay. A quarter of Spain's workforce is on temporary contracts, as is 23 percent of Portugal's, compared with a European Union average of 14 percent.
In Spain, Portugal and Italy, a rigid dual system has emerged. Middle-aged people have stable jobs with benefits. They are expensive to fire and protected by masses of legislation. Meanwhile, younger workers are stuck in a revolving door of temporary contracts that are easy to abuse. The two-track job market is stunting economic growth, studies show. Temporary workers get trapped for longer and longer periods without benefits, which affects output and makes southern Europe less competitive.

"You cannot just leave one segment of the labor market fully untouched and not motivate people to go to the job where they fit best... you might create employment in the short term but in the end it's a dead-end road," said Ton Wilthagen, a labor expert at Tilburg University in the Netherlands.

1000 EUROS A MONTH AIN'T SO BAD AFTER ALL

The curse of the mileurista -- the Spanish-language term for a temporary worker who earns a thousand euros a month without benefits -- is not new. Young professionals in southern Europe have found a permanent position elusive for some time. But the lost generation has wandered deeper into a maze as the euro zone debt crisis intensifies. Economic growth is slowing again and public sector jobs are disappearing as governments try to bring huge public deficits under control. "We used to talk about mileuristas like it was a bad thing. Now it's good. A 1000-euro a month temporary contract is decent," said Jose Maria Marin, labor expert and contemporary history professor at Spain's National University of Distance Education. In Rome, 27-year-old Federico has moved from one temporary job to another since he graduated in history in 2009. A 1000-euros-a-month is starting to look like an unobtainable dream.

"I was interviewed today for a one-year job but I didn't like it because they were offering me 500 euros a month to work 10 hours a day," said Federico, who did not want his last name used since prospective employers could search for him on the Internet. So far he has held out for a job in his chosen field of media or marketing. He wants to move out of his parents' house but he needs a permanent job contract in order to sign a rental agreement. With more than a quarter of Italians from 15-24 years old out of work he's starting to get desperate. "Sometimes I feel frustrated, and I start to send off lots of CVs, even to companies I don't like, just so I have more chance of finding something", he said.

The phenomenon of young people living with their parents is another thing holding back economic growth, creating a vicious cycle for job creation. If they were setting up new households they would be stimulating the housing market as well as consumer spending. Another risk for economies with high percentages of temporary workers, notes Wilthagen, is that banks are shy of lending to people without permanent employment, further holding back consumption.

FOOT IN THE DOOR

Theoretically, a temporary contract is a foot in the door to prove yourself as a good hire. But in southern Europe many supposedly temporary hires renew contracts year after year and do the same jobs as the permanent hires around them, just without the job security or benefits. This creates an enduring second-class job tier similar to the phenomenon of "permatemps" in the United States of Zionism in the 1990s.

In Spain only 20 percent of temporary contracts led to permanent positions in 2008, one of the lowest rates in the European Union, according to a study by Ruud Muffels, a labor market expert at Tilburg University. His analysis of Eurostat data showed that mobility was better in Italy and Portugal. Pedro Portugal, a labor market expert at Nova University in Lisbon, said conversion rates of temporary contracts to permanent ones have decreased in Portugal to under 20 percent from 50 percent in the late 1990s.

Many Portuguese companies abuse a freelance contract called the "green receipt," using it to hire full-time, in-house workers, said Joao Labrincha, an organizer of marches earlier this year against state austerity measures. He said that "green receipt" workers often have fixed schedules like any other employee, but have no right to holidays, social security, health insurance or severance pay.

Even the government misuses the contracts

"I've worked for the state under green receipts for more than five years. The system is rather perverse. Many of my colleagues are also under these precarious conditions, some of them have been temporary workers for the last 10 years", said a middle manager at the Portuguese Institute of Museums, who asked not to be named. It's difficult to transition into a permanent job when no such posts are being created. In Spain, 80 percent of new job contracts signed in the last decade were temporary contracts -- businesses just aren't creating permanent positions.

"Firms tend to link temporary contracts, to chain one after the other, with the effect that very few young people get transformed from temporary to permanent. This has a very negative impact on young people starting their careers", said Anita Woelfl, economist with the OECD.

ANY JOB IS BETTER THAN NO JOB

In 2010, under pressure from the European Union to reform its labor market and make it easier for companies to hire and fire, Spain's Socialist government passed reforms meant to phase out temporary contracts and make permanent contracts cheaper for employers. But less than a year later the government did a U-turn after the 2010 reform failed to put a dent into the country's unemployment rate, which continued to rise. "We'd rather have people on a temporary job than without a job," said Labor Minister Valeriano Gomez when the government rolled back the reforms, introducing new rules that allow companies to extend some temporary contracts for up to three years.

Spain is becoming a country of people who are "apprentices until 33 and can't retire until 75", said union leader Ignacio Fernandez Toxo, criticizing the new rules, which included a new type of contract that gives companies more leeway to hire trainees for extensive periods with no benefits. The extended trainee contract was designed to retrain jobless men now in their late twenties or early thirties who dropped out of school as teenagers during Spain's housing boom to work in well-paid construction jobs until the building sector collapsed in a pile of bad debt. In Portugal, where the jobless rate is 12 percent, significantly lower than Spain's, the government has stuck to reforms that reduce and cap severance pay.

Juan Jose Dolado, an economist at Madrid's Universidad Carlos III, said Spain should have kept its eye on the long-term goal and moved the country toward a one-contract system with phased-in severance pay benefits. "It was like crossing the river and being in the middle. They got scared in the middle, they didn't move forward to reach the other side, they went back", Dolado said. The Socialists, expected to lose November 20 general elections after eight years in power, are now campaigning on pledges to crack down on abuse of temporary contracts. The center-right opposition People's Party, or PP, poised to win the November vote, says it wants to revive the original labor reform and move Spain toward one type of job contract, such as the one Dolado envisions.

But analysts say the PP may also flinch when it comes to cracking down on temporary contracts because they worry the short-term effect will be to put people out of work at a time when joblessness is the top concern of Spanish voters. Meanwhile, workers like Juan Francisco Seller, will continue to give their labor away, hoping a "real" job materializes. Seller is 27 and has a pharmaceutical degree. He's been working for free in a hospital in Valencia for a year, doing research with a laboratory team. He has turned down paid work outside of his field, in order to keep his C.V. professional. "I'm one of those who have patience and I'm really clear that other options don't appeal to me and I really like this field," he said. But "in the end it drives you crazy."
(Reuters)

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

IMF Advisor: Global Financial Meltdown in 2 to 3 Weeks

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A week after the BBC exploded Alessio Rastani to the stage, it has just done it all over again. In an interview with IMF advisor Robert Shapiro, the bailout expert has pretty much said what,once again, is on everyone’s mind:

“If they can not address [the financial crisis] in a credible way I believe within perhaps 2 to 3 weeks we will have a meltdown in sovereign debt which will produce a meltdown across the European banking system. We are not just talking about a relatively small Belgian bank, we are talking about the largest banks in the world, the largest banks in Germany, the largest banks in France, that will spread to the United Kingdom, it will spread everywhere because the global financial system is so interconnected. All those banks are counterparties to every significant bank in the United States, and in Britain, and in Japan, and around the world. This would be a crisis that would be in my view more serrious than the crisis in 2008…. What we don’t know the state of credit default swaps held by banks against sovereign debt and against European banks, nor do we know the state of CDS held by British banks, nor are we certain of how certain the exposure of British banks is to the Ireland sovereign debt problems.”
But no, Morgan Stanley does, or so they swear an unlimited number of times each day. And they say not to worry about anything because, you see, it is not like they have any upside in telling anyone the truth. Which is why for everyone hung up on the latest rumor of a plan about a plan about a plan spread by a newspaper whose very viability is tied in with that of the banks that pay for its advertising revenue, we have one thing to ask: “show us the actual plan please. Because it is easy to say “recapitalize” this, and “bad bank” that. In practice, it is next to impossible. So yes, ladies and gentlemen, enjoy this brief relief rally driven by the fact that China is offline for the week and that the persistent source of overnight selling on Chinese “hard/crash landing” concerns has been gone simply due to an extended national holiday. Well, that holiday is coming to an end.
 ( The Total Collapse )

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